Planning for disaster

July 15,  2012
 
Michael Buxton

Melbourne already has 30 years of land supply but Ted Baillieu  and Matthew Guy want more.

Illustration: Matt Davidson.Illustration: Matt Davidson.

HOPES have faded that the Baillieu government would continue the moderate  approach to land use of former premier Sir Rupert Hamer. Instead this is  government in the Jeff Kennett style.

The Baillieu administration is rushing to change the Victorian planning  system, with radical deregulation changing Melbourne irrevocably for the  worse.

Planning Minister Matthew Guy has advantaged a select group of landowners by  adding their 6000 hectares to the recent 43,000-hectare increase in Melbourne’s  area. Guy cynically dubbed this process ”Logical Inclusions” but it is wholly  irrational.

A land glut has been created as demand for outer urban housing has crashed.  Developers quickly added new home subsidies to the price of housing. Subsidies  encouraged new home buyers to borrow heavily in the belief that land prices  would always rise. Now they are falling, potentially trapping the most  vulnerable in a debt crisis.
Melbourne has 30 years’ land supply at world’s lowest densities. Yet Guy  perseveres, adding land to potentially enrich a few at the expense of the many.  Melbourne cannot afford premiers and planning ministers who get land markets so  disastrously wrong.

Almost every outer urban council has chronicled a growing catastrophe of  inadequate infrastructure and jobs. Governments cannot afford to meet the rising  costs of outer urban infrastructure. This failure and car-dependent urban design levies crippling running costs on to many outer  urban householders.

Baillieu and Guy show a single-minded intent to finish the job Kennett and  his Planning Minister, Robert Maclellan, started. This is part of a systematic  confrontation. Melburnians should get ready for a rough ride – the planning  battleground until now will be just a skirmish to this coming war.

New planning zones will protect relatively small areas of historic housing,  open up other residential areas to major growth and leave much of Melbourne with  little protection against piecemeal redevelopment. The government clearly thinks  it is clever to satisfy some influential resident groups while giving the rest  of Melbourne and Victoria over to developers.

New commercial zones will lead to a retailing and commercial free-for-all.  Much of Melbourne’s historic strip shopping centres will be demolished or  distorted to facades in front of medium and high-rise development. Struggling  centres will feel additional pressure from a broad range of allowed uses and  expanded bulky goods complexes.

Another blow is directed at Melbourne’s green wedges and rural areas. The  government will allow large-scale commercial development through hotel,  conference and restaurant complexes in beautiful places such as the Upper Yarra  Valley and Mornington Peninsula. An extended range of accommodation types will  be allowed.

Rural subdivision will be encouraged, creating thousands more small rural  lots on some of the world’s most fire-prone land. Already, well over 50,000  allotments exist in Melbourne’s hinterland. Why do we need more?

Matthew Guy’s new planning system will also allow the unrestricted expansion  of industrialised farming on rural land. There is a need for such massive  structures, but the previous farming zones tried to confine them to acceptable  areas.

The process this government is following in introducing its changes is also a  concern. Guy withheld the details of new zones to sell his message before its  full impact is realised  hoping that bad news in the fine print will be  overlooked when eventually revealed. This is a cynical attempt to manipulate  public opinion.

This government revels in its blatant advantaging of vested interests. It  provides unrestricted access to property groups and openly panders to them. Many  of the new uses and developments will be allowed without the need for planning  permits with no right of resident notification, objection or appeal. There are  going to be a lot of very unhappy Victorians.

What could have been done instead of assailing the last vestiges of the Hamer  legacy? Most people agree the Kennett planning system is a disaster, one of the  world’s largest, most complex, costly and uncertain. These problems can be fixed  by rules that state clearly what is and is not allowed. Prohibitions for  inappropriate uses as much as allowing minor uses without the need for permits  provide certainty.

Like most of the world’s planning deregulators, the Baillieu government says  it will provide certainty for ”mums and dads” and small businesses. But this   is a smokescreen for pandering to big business. Rewarding the powerful and  connected is the real motivation. Allowing developers to build dysfunctional  suburbs, big retailers to destroy small business and big agriculture to ruin  landscapes will advantage only them, at massive cost to everyone else. There is  nothing rational about this unless you are a recipient of the largesse.

The cities that  survive this century will be those that protect their vital  resources. Melbourne’s greatest long-term assets are its people and its  environment. Amenity is almost everything to a city. It is right to intensify  mixed-use activity centres near public transport nodes but not at the expense of  our built heritage. It is madness to even contemplate the destruction of our  Victorian and pre-war strip shopping centres. These are among the city’s  greatest economic assets, attracting innovators, investors and a broad range of  economic drivers.

The natural resources and environment of Melbourne’s hinterland similarly are  vital to the city’s future prosperity and success. We destroy them for the  short-term gain of a few at our peril.

■Michael Buxton is environment and planning professor at RMIT  University.

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